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Michael Adelman's avatar

"You can’t just wave away rising prices and dead soldiers on a television."

It seems like Trump genuinely thinks he can. In a sense, his explanation of the war to his domestic audience* is "you agree with me about sociocultural values like guns and immigration and America First. Therefore, when I order risky and aggressive strikes, you will be inclined to support them and to not worry about the costs."

And as a liberal, there was (is?) reason to fear that he was onto something. Trump's total refusal to articulate a coherent public argument for the war reads to me like supreme confidence in his political standing - or perhaps more accurately, in his political standing *vis-a-vis his opponents*. Dems are not a nationally competitive coalition and (to my endless frustration) are not really seriously trying to become one. So Trump and Republicans feel quite broad freedom of action because they face no serious electoral threat. We need to *try to be popular and compete in more places* so we can MAKE them pay a price for their insane and destructive policies. But that's the only way.

*Of course "domestic audience" to Trump means his own supporters - he has a very consistent core belief that his supporters are the only legitimate members of the polity. The main question is whether that group remains the winning and geographically efficient plurality it was in 2016 and 2024. I certainly hope the public sees all the costs and downside risks of what we are doing in Iran, but I'm not so sure Trump's opponents (myself included) have done enough persuasion on the front.

JG's avatar

Excellent writing as always. Messenging matters 👍. You can't just go "Boom! Surprise war!"

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